Last Updated SUN 28 JUN 2026 · 10:15 EDT Next: 11:15 EDT
All 7 UA/DL flights on time per gocho.com as of 10:15 EDT. Forward risk: IAD has light rain now with 78% all-day precip — threatens UA4265 late-night arrival (11:43 PM). ORD 46% afternoon convective risk with FAA summer cap active — watch UA5565 turn and UA5610 (8:55 PM). ATL is the clean hub tonight at 10%. DL1289 ATL tracking 10 min ahead of schedule.
Shift Timeline 10:15 EDT
4:00 PM 7:00 PM 10:00 PM 1:00 AM
Dulles — Risk Hub
IAD · KIAD
72°F, light rain right now. High 77°F. 78% precipitation chance all day — today's highest-risk hub. Frontal system over D.C. corridor. UA4265 departs IAD late-night into this system. June 2026 saw a major D.C. tri-airport ground stop event.
Chicago O'Hare
ORD · KORD
74°F, sunny now. High 84°F. 46% precipitation chance — afternoon convective risk builds. FAA summer cap active through Oct 24. US aviation crisis Day ~88. UA5565 departs ORD ~2 PM CDT, UA5610 ~6 PM CDT in risk window.
Charlottesville
CHO · KCHO
74°F, cloudy. High 77°F. 37% precipitation chance. Brief afternoon showers possible but no field-level operational constraints. No lightning stop-work protocol needed. Much cooler than recent shifts.
Atlanta — Clean Hub
ATL · KATL
81°F, partly sunny. High 92°F. Only 10% precipitation — cleanest hub tonight. DL1289 ATL arrival tracking 10 minutes ahead of schedule. DL5266 CHO departure to ATL benefits from clean conditions.
LaGuardia
LGA · KLGA
75°F, cloudy. 25% precipitation chance. Sunday = lightest LGA traffic day. Late-evening approach sequencing is DL5320's primary exposure. Low-moderate risk.
All 7 UA/DL flights on time per gocho.com live board as of 10:15 EDT. Forward risk: IAD has light rain now with 78% all-day precip — threatens UA4265 late-night IAD departure (sched arr CHO 11:43 PM). ORD 46% afternoon convective risk with FAA summer cap active — UA5565 turn (arr 5:06 PM / dep 5:52 PM) and UA5610 (8:55 PM) are primary exposures. ATL is the clean hub at 10% — DL1289 ATL tracking 10 min ahead of schedule.
Light rain at Dulles right now, 78% all-day precip. UA4265 is the last flight of the night (sched arr 11:43 PM) and departs IAD ~10:58 PM into potentially active weather. Analyst estimate: 12:00–12:20 AM CHO arrival. June 2026 saw a major D.C. tri-airport ground stop — today's frontal system is the same pattern.
ORD is clear this morning but 46% afternoon precip builds. FAA summer cap (through Oct 24) means any GDP hits harder than pre-cap. UA5565 (arr 5:06 PM) departs ORD ~2 PM CDT — relatively clear window. UA5610 (arr 8:55 PM) departs ORD ~6 PM CDT — squarely in the afternoon risk window. Monitor ORD from 5 PM CDT.
ATL only 10% precip — cleanest hub tonight. DL1289 ATL→CHO (orig sched 11:13 PM) is currently showing an 11:03 PM update — the airline expects it 10 minutes early. DL5266 CHO→ATL departure also benefits from clean ATL conditions.
UA5565 arrives 5:06 PM · UA5606 departs 5:52 PM — a 46-minute turn window. Comfortable but not slack. Stage crew and equipment pre-arrival. Confirm EDCT status for UA5606 with dispatch given ORD afternoon convective risk building during push time.
Source: gocho.com live board · FAA Daily Air Traffic Report · NWS TAF KORD/KCHO
Updated: SUN 28 JUN 2026 · 10:15 EDT · Next update: 11:15 EDT
Analyst estimates are operational projections, not official airline ETAs.
⬛ Bottom Line — SUN 28 JUN 2026 · 10:15 EDT · Source: gocho.com live board

All 7 UA/DL flights on time per gocho.com live board as of 10:15 EDT. The forward risk picture is clear: IAD has light rain right now with 78% all-day precip — today's dominant weather risk hub, reversing its usual role as the clean anchor. UA4265 (IAD→CHO, sched 11:43 PM) departs Dulles late at night directly into this system — plan for 12:00–12:20 AM actual arrival. ORD carries a 46% afternoon convective chance with the FAA summer cap active through October 24, amplifying any GDP. UA5565 (arr 5:06 PM) turns to UA5606 (dep 5:52 PM) in 46 minutes — comfortable but confirm EDCT before push. UA5610 (sched 8:55 PM) departs ORD at 6:00 PM CDT into the peak convective window — plan for 9:20–10:00 PM actual. The good news: ATL is the clean hub at 10%, and DL1289 is currently tracking 10 minutes ahead of its 11:13 PM schedule.

Published Status
All 7 On Time
Dominant Risk Hub
IAD — 78% precip
ORD Precip Risk
46% afternoon
UA5610 Watch
Sched 8:55 PM
UA4265 IAD Watch
Sched 11:43 PM
ATL — Clean Hub
10% precip
DL1289 ATL
10 min early
IAD — Dulles (Risk Hub)
72°F, light rain now. High 77°F. 78% precip all day — today's highest-risk hub. Frontal system over D.C. corridor. UA4265 departs IAD late-night into this system. June 2026 saw a major D.C. tri-airport ground stop in the same pattern.
ORD — Chicago O'Hare
74°F, sunny now. High 84°F. 46% precip today — afternoon convective risk builds. FAA summer cap active through Oct 24 amplifies any GDP impact. US aviation crisis Day ~88. UA5610 dep ~6 PM CDT in peak risk window.
ATL — Hartsfield-Jackson
81°F, partly sunny. High 92°F. Only 10% precip — cleanest hub tonight. DL1289 tracking 10 min ahead of schedule. DL5266 CHO→ATL departure benefits from clean ATL conditions. No flow control risk.
LGA — LaGuardia
75°F, cloudy. High 81°F. 25% precip. Sunday = lightest LGA traffic day. Late-evening approach sequencing is DL5320's primary exposure. Low-moderate risk overall.
CHO — Charlottesville
74°F, cloudy. High 77°F. 37% precip today. Overcast but VFR. Brief afternoon/evening showers possible — no field-level operational constraints. Much cooler than recent shifts.
Flight Status Type Published
Time
Originally
Scheduled
Analyst Est. Risk Action
IAD — Today's Dominant Risk Hub

Dulles is reporting light rain right now with a 78% all-day precipitation chance — the highest of any hub tonight. This reverses IAD's usual role as the clean anchor. UA4265 (sched arr 11:43 PM) departs IAD ~10:58 PM when the frontal system may still be active — plan for a 12:00–12:20 AM CHO arrival. June 2026 saw a major D.C. tri-airport (DCA/IAD/BWI) ground stop event with the same frontal pattern.

ORD — 46% Risk, FAA Cap Amplifies

ORD is clear this morning but 46% afternoon convective chance builds. The FAA summer flight cap at ORD (active through October 24) reduces hourly acceptance rates — any weather-triggered GDP cascades faster than pre-cap. UA5565 (dep ORD ~2 PM CDT) catches a relatively clear window. UA5610 (dep ORD ~6 PM CDT) is in the peak convective risk window — monitor ORD radar from 5 PM CDT. Analyst estimate: 9:20–10:00 PM CHO arrival.

ATL Clean · DL1289 Running 10 Min Early

Atlanta has only 10% precipitation chance today — the cleanest hub in the system. DL1289 (ATL→CHO, orig sched 11:13 PM) is showing an 11:03 PM update on gocho.com — the airline currently projects it arriving 10 minutes early. DL5266 CHO→ATL departure also benefits. DL5320 LGA is low risk at 25%. The DL late-night window is the most predictable part of this shift.

UA5565 / UA5606 Turn — 46-Min Window

UA5565 arrives 5:06 PM · UA5606 departs 5:52 PM — a 46-minute turn window that is comfortable but not slack. Historical 48% delay rate on the ORD→CHO route means a minor slip is possible. Stage crew and equipment pre-arrival. Confirm EDCT status with dispatch before UA5606 pushback — ORD afternoon convective risk is building during this turn.